{"id":12602,"date":"2020-04-04T09:27:15","date_gmt":"2020-04-04T08:27:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/?p=12602"},"modified":"2020-04-05T08:29:41","modified_gmt":"2020-04-05T07:29:41","slug":"the_curves_are_not_looking_good_for_sweden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/2020\/04\/04\/the_curves_are_not_looking_good_for_sweden\/","title":{"rendered":"The curves are not looking good for Sweden"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>All other large countries in Europe are going into lockdown, yet in Sweden life is pretty much continuing as usual. The official recommendation is to work from home, avoid going anywhere to the extent possible, and avoid larger gatherings, but people don&#8217;t seem to be taking this very seriously. Fewer people are using mass transit. But gyms, restaurants and shopping malls remain open, and people are still going there. A 30% reduction in visitors is not much.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/helen\/blog\/images\/2\/Google_social_distancing.png\" class=\"x8y45\" \/><br \/>\nThe effect is that people in Sweden are dying. Yesterday (or was it the day before) 50 people died in Sweden of coronavirus, which is as many as have died in Norway in total. Norway has a smaller population, true, but even counting deaths per million inhabitants, Sweden stands out. We&#8217;re not at the level of the worst hit countries yet, but we&#8217;re not doing great, either.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/helen\/blog\/images\/2\/Deaths_per_million.png\" class=\"x6y4\" \/><br \/>\nWe&#8217;re about to do much worse quite soon. We&#8217;re following in the footsteps of all those dark red countries on the map. Our curves are pointing up at the same angle as theirs, just with a bit of a delay.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/helen\/blog\/images\/2\/Death_curves.png\" class=\"x6y4\" \/><br \/>\nThere may be perfectly good reasons for this voluntary, recommendation-based, &#8220;we should all do our duty&#8221; approach. I&#8217;m not going to join the army of armchair epidemiologists who all know better than the experts what we should be doing. But I am guessing that the country is going to switch over to a mandatory, prohibition-based proper quarantine very soon.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Sources: <a href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/coronavirus\">Our World in Data Coronavirus Statistics and Research<\/a>, <a href=https:\/\/www.google.com\/covid19\/mobility\/\">Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All other large countries in Europe are going into lockdown, yet in Sweden life is pretty much continuing as usual. The official recommendation is to work from home, avoid going anywhere to the extent possible, and avoid larger gatherings, but people don&#8217;t seem to be taking this very seriously. Fewer people are using mass transit. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current_affairs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12602"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12602\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12612,"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12602\/revisions\/12612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.toomik.net\/helen\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}